FanBoardHQ

Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic University · 2023 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#111
Efficiency
-9.7
106th FBS
Record
4-8
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-8th
of 14
Florida Atlantic Fanboard →

Florida Atlantic went 4-8 and was ranked 111th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 84th-ranked defense carried them, with an 110th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 58% of offensive plays with an 114th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 42% of plays with an 86th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-0
Q3
0-2
Q4
4-5

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.0 wins
Strength of Record
114th
-6.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
116th
full season
116th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
112th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.0 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs MonmouthCoastal AthleticW 4220+9.9100%6.2Q4
2vs OhioMid-American#54L 1017-3.70%-12.4Q4
3@ ClemsonACC#24L 1448-23.90%-29.4Q1
4@ IllinoisBig Ten#78L 1723-9.50%-6.3Q3
6vs TulsaAmerican Athletic#113W 2017+8.5100%-15.3Q4
7@ South FloridaAmerican Athletic#82W 5614-3.7100%29.3Q4
8vs UTSAAmerican Athletic#55L 1036-7.30%-23.2Q4
9@ CharlotteAmerican Athletic#125W 3816+5.9100%6.9Q4
10@ UABAmerican Athletic#114L 4245+1.20%-13.6Q4
11vs East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#128L 722+4.40%-27.3Q4
12vs TulaneAmerican Athletic#37L 824-9.00%-24.4Q3
13@ RiceAmerican Athletic#88L 2124-5.60%-7.3Q4

12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Florida Atlantic, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-24.7-0.0+24.66-12-29-6-1529-237-14-27-24-7Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 114th
SR 97thYPP 118thEPA 120th
RushingEff 86th
SR 79thYPP 72ndEPA 102nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 120th
SR 120thYPP 101stEPA 124th
Rush defenseEff 76th
SR 85thYPP 87thEPA 62nd
Dropback rate 58%Tempo -1.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 66th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 37%2nd · Defense allowed: 47%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 37%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 41%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 62.0Q1 · Allowed: 59.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 69.0Q2 · Allowed: 116.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 59.0Q3 · Allowed: 68.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 73.0Q4 · Allowed: 50.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledFlorida AtlanticOffenseDefense
Florida Atlantic Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 110th
-6.8
Field position: +0.7Finishing drives: -7.5
Field position +0.7Finishing drives -7.5= -6.8
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 39th · Finishing 116th

Defensive EffRanked 84th
-2.3
Field position: +0.4Finishing drives: -2.6
Field position +0.4Finishing drives -2.6= -2.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 50th · Finishing 91st

1.77 points per drive on offense, 1.93 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(160)56% / 44%39%6.5
Q2(209)55% / 45%45%5.3
Q3(180)53% / 47%39%6.3
Q4(214)62% / 38%34%4.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(147)10.048%7.3
2nd(133)8.732%4.0
3rd(130)8.436%5.8
4th(22)8.118%3.7
All (432)38%5.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(174)9.739%5.4
2nd(111)7.143%5.3
3rd(34)6.238%5.2
4th(12)1.575%8.1
All (331)41%5.4

Florida Atlantic, all games.